Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 67.082282 75.819095 84.793614 94.669006 105.199006 116.061386 128.083794
2025-04-06 53.069127 65.448146 78.784502 94.087258 111.033991 129.110389 149.734903
2025-04-13 43.413948 57.478786 73.211698 91.838654 113.031501 136.160852 163.085872
2025-04-20 39.222157 54.976998 73.127335 95.128671 120.657030 148.972285 182.393314
2025-04-27 35.265411 52.209376 72.276817 97.127116 126.464635 159.461631 198.866921
2025-05-04 30.695691 48.195271 69.532117 96.534437 128.963841 165.934843 210.581207
2025-05-11 26.657855 44.442262 66.764220 95.610823 130.817769 171.458098 221.034259
2025-05-18 23.878985 42.059323 65.479230 96.300226 134.434764 178.913822 233.625728
2025-05-25 20.960467 39.203938 63.367239 95.771780 136.425494 184.336528 243.754716
2025-06-01 18.723346 37.088027 62.051506 96.106328 139.359698 190.798147 255.044103
2025-06-08 16.253866 34.390667 59.773134 95.049994 140.447688 194.952380 263.530594
2025-06-15 14.898886 33.241934 59.508318 96.537068 144.661279 202.848082 276.455162
2025-06-22 13.707373 32.265475 59.448906 98.300350 149.268161 211.302303 290.171590
2025-06-29 11.919151 30.142667 57.639307 97.631212 150.712646 215.849632 299.174924
2025-07-06 9.907477 27.396039 54.745742 95.343528 149.954412 217.588092 304.702748
2025-07-13 9.510684 27.447517 55.971086 98.705470 156.534915 228.446736 321.350860
2025-07-20 8.834419 26.914218 56.268939 100.748422 161.374665 237.132527 335.356671
2025-07-27 7.635271 25.247394 54.733064 100.142621 162.671213 241.341731 343.852379
2025-08-03 6.498047 23.536653 53.018914 99.198564 163.455176 244.860552 351.467388
2025-08-10 5.788265 22.605391 52.483390 99.903237 166.414917 251.119439 362.465331
2025-08-17 4.935740 21.227551 51.135961 99.363089 167.651298 255.154702 370.686444
2025-08-24 4.313462 20.267727 50.418773 99.705049 170.055319 260.667038 380.741583
2025-08-31 3.555427 18.826037 48.792643 98.625279 170.465334 263.582358 387.528021